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 utopius     Graphic_subscribe   

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    Community Rank: Sr. Analyst (496 pts)  |  Member since 10/11/2007
Anything
Picks Performance:
Outperforms
82%
of community

All-time Return
+14.78%
(in 10 months)
Risk (SD)
Moderate
1.69%
Sharpe Ratio
6.95
Followers
35
Winning Picks
33 of 44
Total Views
19310


 Last Activity: Added COF to bearish list on 08/13/08 

Current Stock List:
Symbol SP Sentiment Rating Return Since
COF Negative +1.34% 08/13/08
BCS Negative +7.11% 08/13/08
RBS Negative +4.50% 08/13/08
SCGLY N/A Negative n/a 08/13/08
BKS Negative +5.63% 08/12/08
FFIC N/A Negative -2.41% 08/12/08
FBC Negative -2.28% 08/12/08
ZION Negative +10.33% 08/12/08
WM Negative +5.09% 08/12/08
WB Negative +10.88% 08/12/08




Opinion & Analysis
Graphic_rating_sell Next risk is credit cards and commercial loans   about USB   07/31/08
Could be wrong, but seems this financial is trading near 2x book value, seems a little high in such risky times.  While USB has looked a lot safer than those banks exposed to low-end residential ...

Graphic_rating_buy Safest broker for institutions   about IBKR   07/18/08
Simplest place for institutions to park investment funds.

Graphic_rating_buy iPod Touch is now remote control for your computer ..   about AAPL   07/17/08
iTunes is a powerful beast.

Graphic_rating_buy maybe not dead yet, oil prices dropping   about AAI   07/15/08
This is a high leverage, high risk call.  But if oil hits double digits again in the next few months, AAI should be a nice performer while the summer vacations are still going on. 

Graphic_rating_buy Rally on rapidly dropping oil prices   about JBHT   07/15/08
Time to pick up some shares of companies that do well when oil drops.  Oil should drop for a month or more, maybe even 50% drop.  This will rally certain sectors of economy sensitive to high



Discussions

Re: Bounce 07/15/08
Pretty sure the Fed won't mind if the equity investors lose it all in Fannie and Freddie. Similar to the sentiment when they goaded JPM to bid lower for Bear ($2.00 was the eventual bid price before it got raised). FNM investors likely to see close to zero, even with gov't bailout/investment/privitization.

Re: Printing money 06/30/08
Mastercard came public at a lower valuation because it had no peers publically trading at the time. Whereas, since MA was publically trading when V went public, V immediately got the benefit of a much higher valuation due to comparison with MA. So no, just because MA went up 10-fold doesn't mean V will also-- that is not a logical argument.

Re: How do you invest in the Nasdaq Composite index in Social... 06/27/08
Yes, QQQQ and QID track the Nasdaq 100, but what about the Nasdaq Composite?

How do you invest in the Nasdaq Composite index in Social... 06/27/08
Self explanatory. What symbol do you use on SocialPicks to "buy" or "sell short" the Nasdaq composite index?

Re: Hasn't really been down this year 06/27/08
ok, but you can scan this comment, which was created within a group, on the main site. So again, what is the purpose of groups?




People Following utopius ...

Condor
Doodahdoodoo
Sr. Analyst
26%

Davidgreene
Gerald Greene
Analyst
84%

Bearishguy
The Big Bear
Analyst
85%

utopius is Following ...

Dscf0521
C.W. Lee
Analyst
83%

Photo_9
zzztimbo
Sr. Analyst
79%

Gekko
Walter Thatcher
Sr. Associate
72%

Friends of utopius ...

noshoes
Sr. Analyst
84%





 
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