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Picks Performance:
Outperforms
51%
of community
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All-time Return
+102.19%
(in over 6 years)
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Risk (SD)
Aggressive
0.00%
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Sharpe Ratio
-14.91
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Followers
1
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Winning Picks
3
of
5
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Total Views
8626
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Ticker Sense's Blog Posts
Future Volatility
07/27/07
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Anyone tuning into CNBC this morning would have heard the buzz about the volatile futures market. Down as much at 11 points earlier this morning, S&P 500 futures poked their head above water only fall again, now down 3.4 points. Over the past week much of the market's gains or losses ...
Sector Trading Envelopes
07/27/07
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After such a big move in the US stock markets yesterday we highlight below where the Dow, S&P 500 and all of its ten sectors are in relation to their "normal" trading ranges. Those familiar with the matter know the highlighted range as the Trading Envelope. The financial sector has le...
Wondering Where We Are?
07/26/07
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Do you ever wonder why we don't have many posts on big days like today?
Birinyi Mini-Institutional clients get the most proprietary and up-to-date information we offer. Our Strategy Bulletins are released on an ad-hoc basis and cover exactly the types of events we saw in the market today. ...
Birinyi Newsletter: Published Today
07/25/07
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The Birinyi Monthly Newsletter will be sent to our distribution list via email at 6pm this evening. Subscribe today and receive the sector timing model detailed below, Laszlo Birinyi's personal market commentary and insight, and the three Birinyi Portfolios.
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AAPL Earnings
07/25/07
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With AAPL reporting after the close today, we went to our earnings database to check the stock's performance during previous reports. One of our most interesting findings is that Apple has not MISSED its EPS forecast since as far back as October, 2002. Should it miss today, we would be in...
Market Timing
07/25/07
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A new addition to the Birniyi Monthly Newsletter is our Marking Timing Model. Illustrated below for the DIA and SPY ETFs, the model shows the percent spread between at security's price and 50-day moving average. The red and green horizontal lines indicate high and low extremes. Thes...
The Buyback Boom: Bigger Than You Think
07/25/07
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Over the past month we have heard particular attention paid to large share repurchases and that they are buoying the market. On 6/22 Reuters published that 340 companies had announced $178b in new buybacks during the second quarter. Our data showed 391 announcements totaling $215b. ...
S&P 500 Earnings: QTD
07/24/07
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So far 26% of S&P 500 companies have reported their second quarter results. As shown below, companies for the most part have beaten their analysts' expectations. As of 7:30 am Monday morning, the top down consensus estimate for the market was raised a full percentage point. Stro...
MOT Stuck in the Mud
07/23/07
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Over the past few months news about MOT has slipped off the radar screen, mired at a price at or below its 50-day of $18.09. What had been a saga about Carl Icahn's involvement with the company's board has been replaced by the Dow Jones saga. The news about Icahn's position in MOT helped ...
July 23rd Blogger Sentiment Poll
07/23/07
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This week there are more bears than bulls in the poll, although earnings season seems to have sparked continued uncertainty.
Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants:
24/7 Wall Street (-) Abnormal Returns Ant & Sons (-) Alpha Trends Big Picture Bloggin' Wall Street Capit...
Dow and Round Numbers
07/20/07
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As was duly noted by reporters and news agencies yesterday afternoon, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 14,000 for the first time. As an addendum to this most recent milestone we looked historically at the other thousand point milestones to see how the Dow performed thereafter. ...
Blue Chips = Big Winners
07/19/07
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Over the past month we could hardly help but notice how much the Dow has outperformed the S&P 500. The Dow broke through the early June resistance earlier, and it has continued to perform better since then. Year-to-date the Dow has outperformed the S&P by 2.93%, with much of that ...
Getting Technical with CMI
07/19/07
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Cummins Inc. has had an unbelievable run so far this year. It is up 102% YTD versus 107% over the last 52-weeks. It is 17% above its 50-day moving average, and 58% above its 200-day. All technical measures indicate that CMI is overbought, and we should expect it to consolidate in th...
Dow 30: YTD Performance
07/19/07
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Below we looked at the performance of the Dow 30 stocks, and how they stack up against one another. Alcoa has been the number one overall performer, while Caterpillar has had the largest impact on the Dow. Rankings in the table below refer to impact on index points.
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Dow 14,000: An Update
07/19/07
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Apologies for the survey. Your host was out sick for the last two days, so we were not able to properly celebrate when the Dow crossed 14,000 points for the first time, at 9:55 on Tuesday. As for the survey, the most common response was 1 day, while several people though we would ne...
This Week's Earnings
07/16/07
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Who is reporting, and what are they expecting. Below is a table of the S&P 500 stocks that report earnings this week. Each stock's EPS estimates and any changes in the estimates over the las three months are displayed.
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Dow 14,000
07/16/07
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Not if...but when. Currently the Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading at 13966.43, its high on the day was an astonishing 13989.11! That is less that 11 index points away from the next 1000 point mile stone. With the news about record highs in the S&P 500 and earnings the normal me...
July 16th Blogger Sentiment Poll
07/16/07
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Bloggers are still positive, but most are unsure. With a big earnings week stocks are bound to be shaken up.
Blogger Sentiment Poll Participants:
24/7 Wall Street Abnormal Returns Ant & Sons Alpha Trends Big Picture Bloggin' Wall Street Capital Ch...
Be Optimistic; Use Caution
07/12/07
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With the Dow continuing higher it is setting new records nearly by the minute. AA, AXP, CAT, and HON are the biggest movers on the day, and the future is starting to look brighter. However, we did take a minute to provide a little perspective on the day's move. The DJIA has topped i...
Boeing: Technical Nightmare or Fundamental Dream?
07/11/07
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From the technician's perspective Boeing (BA) is set up for a classic double top at a price of 101.45 (opening price on 6/1/07). The technical analyst refers to this as price resistance, but looking at the fundamental side of things Boeing doesn't look half bad. Generally they say that if...
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More about Ticker Sense
Avg exp holding time:
2202.67 days
Website:
tickersense.typepad.com
About Me:
Ticker Sense was co-founded and developed by analysts Paul Hickey and Justin Walters of Birinyi Assoc
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Ticker Sense was co-founded and developed by analysts Paul Hickey and Justin Walters of Birinyi Associates, Inc.
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