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Community Rank: Analyst (219 pts) | Member since 08/28/2008

Picks Performance:

Outperforms

58%

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All-time Return +4.36% (in 1 year)	Risk (SD) Conservative 0.00%	Sharpe Ratio -11.2
Followers 0	Winning Picks 9 of 10	Total Views 8209

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August 29

DELL Has Upside To $25 Price Level

forecasts 08/29/08

This pick is about: Dell Inc (DELL)

Rating:	$22.025 (08/29/08)
Gain/Loss:	-38.89% in 464 days
Target:	$25.00 (+13.51%) in < two weeks

6 pts

... Continue reading »

GENR Turning BULLISH

forecasts 08/29/08

This pick is about: Genaera Corp (GENR)

Rating:	$1.07 (08/29/08)
Gain/Loss:	n/a in 464 days
Target:	$1.30 (+21.50%) in < two weeks

6 pts

This Stock Is Turning BULLISH, Short-Term

A modest dip to re-test the low made recently is probable. But after that a much larger UP swing is expected. This is a BULLISH quick trade.

Upside Target: >= $1.3 then $1.5

Time Frame: About One Week Or Less

Upside Profit Expectation: 30-50%, depending on your buy price limit.

It is likely that this stock will overshoot the aforementioned upside target. However, I'll be conservative and simply be satisfied with the bulk of the short-term up swing, and leave some profit on the table.

To be fair, I also consulted the forecast for this stock provided by ForecastS.com, but the extra interpretation and the somewhat refined target price expectation are based on my own review of the price chart for the stock.

Forecasts are for your informational purposes only. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Forecasts are not trading advice or recommendations. Always do your own stock research and due diligence. Be sure to consult qualified investment professionals.

... Continue reading »

August 28

Short-Term Dip Of $10-$12 Magnitude Is Due

forecasts 08/28/08

This pick is about: Terra Nitrogen Company L.P. Depositary Receipts Evidencing Common Units Represe (TNH)

Rating:	$122.64 (08/28/08)
Gain/Loss:	+12.31% in 465 days
Target:	$110.00 (-10.31%) in < two weeks

6 pts

An upswing to retest $122 resistance is probable. But in any event a down swing to $110 is expected. Therefore, this is a bearish quick trade of about $10 to $12 in expected profit, depending on where you short it.

It is likely that TNH will dip below $110 to about $106 or somewhat lower, which would make the profit as large as $16 on the short side. However, I'll be conservative and simply be satisfied with a major portion of the short-term down swing, and leave a little on the table.

I also consulted the forecast for TNH provided by ForecastS.com, but the extra interpretation and the target price are also the result of my own review of the price chart for TNH.

Note this is very short-term trading and I expect the target to be met within a week or less, even though I picked two-week time frame (the shortest selection available).

... Continue reading »

Open | Closed

August 29

SKF Turning Bullish With Upside of >=$9

forecasts 08/29/08

This pick is about: UltraShort Financials ProShares (SKF)

Rating:	$118.86 (08/29/08)
Closed:	09/05/2008 @ $123.29 (+3.73% in 7 days)
Target:	$126.00 (+6.01%) in < two weeks

6 pts

This Stock Is Turning BULLISH, Short-Term

A modest dip to re-test the low made recently is probable. But after that a much larger UP swing is expected. This is a BULLISH quick trade.

Upside Target: >= $126

Time Frame: About One Week Or Less

Upside Profit Expectation: $9-$11 per share, depending on your buy price limit.

It is likely that this stock will overshoot the aforementioned upside target. However, I'll be conservative and simply be satisfied with the bulk of the short-term up swing, and leave some profit on the table. If you're a day trader, you can probably even capture that potential additional upside gain, but I am too lazy to bother. Not that I cannot day trade, as I can, often picking intra-day tops and bottoms, but it's an order of magnitude more effort.

To be fair, I also consulted the forecast for this stock provided by ForecastS.com, but the extra interpretation and the somewhat refined target price expectation are based on my own review of the price chart for the stock.

The price gap between $124 and $126 made on 8-28-2008 will be filled in this upswing.

Forecasts are for your informational purposes only. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Forecasts are not trading advice or recommendations. Always do your own stock research and due diligence. Be sure to consult qualified investment professionals.

... Continue reading »

FRE Headed $1

forecasts 08/29/08

This pick is about: Freddie Mac (FRE)

Rating:	$5.05 (08/29/08)
Closed:	09/05/2008 @ $4.8 (+4.95% in 7 days)
Target:	$3.50 (-30.69%) in < two weeks

6 pts

This Stock Is Turning BEARISH, Short-Term

Downside Target: :3.5, then $1

Time Frame: About One Week Or Less

Downside Profit Expectation: "$2.5 to $3 per share, depending on where you short it.

It is likely that this stock will dip below the aforementioned downside target. However, I'll be conservative and simply be satisfied with the bulk of the short-term down swing, and leave some profit on the table. If you're a day trader, you can probably even capture that potential additional downside gain, but I am too lazy to bother. Not that I cannot day trade, as I can, often picking intra-day tops and bottoms, but it's an order of magnitude more effort.

To be fair, I also consulted the forecast for this stock provided by ForecastS.com, but the extra interpretation and the somewhat refined target price expectation are based on my own review of the price chart for the stock.

... Continue reading »

September 03

Going Short FNM

forecasts 09/03/08

This pick is about: Fannie Mae (FNM)

Rating:	$7.5699 (09/03/08)
Closed:	09/05/2008 @ $6.19 (+18.23% in 2 days)

1 pt

The upswing looks exhausted.

Downside target depends, but should be significant.

However, since the position won't be closed out at target, even if a target is set, it reduces the benefit of putting a target price.

... Continue reading »

August 29

PPC Turning BULLISH

forecasts 08/29/08

This pick is about: Pilgrim's Pride Corp. (PPC)

Rating:	$12.97 (08/29/08)
Closed:	09/03/2008 @ $14.14 (+9.02% in 5 days)
Target:	$14.50 (+11.80%) in < two weeks

6 pts

This Stock Is Turning BULLISH, Short-Term

A modest dip to re-test the low made recently is probable. But after that a much larger UP swing is expected. This is a BULLISH quick trade.

Upside Target: >= $14.5

Time Frame: About One Week Or Less

Upside Profit Expectation: >= $1.5, depending on your buy price limit.

It is likely that this stock will overshoot the aforementioned upside target. However, I'll be conservative and simply be satisfied with the bulk of the short-term up swing, and leave some profit on the table.

To be fair, I also consulted the forecast for this stock provided by ForecastS.com, but the extra interpretation and the somewhat refined target price expectation are based on my own review of the price chart for the stock.

Forecasts are for your informational purposes only. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Forecasts are not trading advice or recommendations. Always do your own stock research and due diligence. Be sure to consult qualified investment professionals.

... Continue reading »

COT Turning BULLISH

forecasts 08/29/08

This pick is about: Cott Corp. (COT)

Rating:	$1.94 (08/29/08)
Closed:	09/03/2008 @ $2.0 (+3.09% in 5 days)
Target:	$2.40 (+23.71%) in < two weeks

6 pts

This Stock Is Turning BULLISH, Short-Term

A modest dip to re-test the low made recently is probable. But after that a much larger UP swing is expected. This is a BULLISH quick trade.

Upside Target: >= $2.4 to $2.5

Time Frame: About One Week Or Less

Upside Profit Expectation: >= $0.5, depending on your buy price limit.

It is likely that this stock will overshoot the aforementioned upside target. However, I'll be conservative and simply be satisfied with the bulk of the short-term up swing, and leave some profit on the table.

To be fair, I also consulted the forecast for this stock provided by ForecastS.com, but the extra interpretation and the somewhat refined target price expectation are based on my own review of the price chart for the stock.

The price gap created on August 26, 2008 should be filled in this upswing.

Forecasts are for your informational purposes only. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Forecasts are not trading advice or recommendations. Always do your own stock research and due diligence. Be sure to consult qualified investment professionals.

... Continue reading »

Expect A Quick >=$4 Drop

forecasts 08/29/08

This pick is about: Century Aluminum Company (CENX)

Rating:	$49.4 (08/29/08)
Closed:	09/03/2008 @ $44.87 (+9.17% in 5 days)
Target:	$46.00 (-6.88%) in < two weeks

6 pts

This Stock Is Turning Modestly BEARISH, Short-Term

An upswing to retest the high made recently is probable. But after that a much larger down swing is expected. This is a BEARISH quick trade.

Downside Target: $46

Time Frame: About One Week Or Less

Downside Profit Expectation: $4 per share, depending on where you short it.

It is likely that this stock will dip below the aforementioned downside target. However, I'll be conservative and simply be satisfied with the bulk of the short-term down swing, and leave some profit on the table. If you're a day trader, you can probably even capture that potential additional downside gain, but I am too lazy to bother. Not that I cannot day trade, as I can, often picking intra-day tops and bottoms, but it's an order of magnitude more effort.

To be fair, I also consulted the forecast for this stock provided by ForecastS.com, but the extra interpretation and the somewhat refined target price expectation are based on my own review of the price chart for the stock.

... Continue reading »

August 28

CEO (CNOOC)

forecasts 08/28/08

This pick is about: CNOOC Ltd (CEO)

Rating:	$154.58 (08/28/08)
Closed:	09/02/2008 @ $143.50999 (+7.16% in 5 days)
Target:	$146.00 (-5.55%) in < two weeks

6 pts

An upswing to retest $158 made yesterday (Aug. 27, 2008) is probable. But after that a down swing to $146 is expected. Therefore, this is a bearish quick trade of about $8 to $12 in expected profit, depending on where you short it.

It is likely that CEO will dip below $146 to about $145 or somewhat lower. However, I'll be conservative and simply be satisfied with the bulk of the short-term swing, and leave a little on the table.

To be fair, I also consulted the forecast for CEO provided by ForecastS.com, but the extra interpretation and the target price are based on my own review of the price chart for CEO. Note that there was a price gap on 8-27-2008 and I expect that to be filled.

Note this is very short-term trading and I expect the target to be met within a week or less, even though I picked two-week time frame (the shortest selection available).

... Continue reading »

August 29

FNM Headed $5.5 Then $4

forecasts 08/29/08

This pick is about: Fannie Mae (FNM)

Rating:	$7.62 (08/29/08)
Closed:	09/02/2008 @ $6.49 (+14.83% in 4 days)
Target:	$5.50 (-27.82%) in < two weeks

1 pt

Downside. longer term, of about $4 from current levels (About $7.3)

... Continue reading »

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Investment Style:
Conservative [?]

Avg exp holding time:
130.55 days

Occupation:
Stock Analyst

Website:
ForecastS.Com

About Me:

My trading approach is EXTREMELY conservative. This is because I move out of cash into a long or sho ... more

IN THE PRESS

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