I am closing my WFMI position today and taking the profits.This was a quick 16% gain. Congradulations if you got in on this one. Take a look at my other closed positions as the calculations on this site are only based on your open positions. I guess seelling stocks or closing positions does not count as money in the bank,go figure.......
5/14 - "Whole Foods (WFMI) released results and profit fell 13%, again proving like Starbucks' (SBUX) results, consumers will go for the less expensive option for like items...While the company backed its same store sales number of 7.5% to 9.5%, given results to date, one has to think that will turn out to be just way too optimistic.
Like Starbucks, Whole Foods is being hit by a slowing economy and increased competition. Both, unfortunately, are not reacting to it and actually seem to be denying the effect of competitors, preferring instead to focus on macro conditions...The problem with t...
5/14 - "For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bear-call credit spread above the $37 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 7.1% return in three months as long as WFMI is below $37 at August expiration. Whole Foods would have to rise by more than 26% before we would start to lose money."
"This trade could be risky if the company's next earnings (due out in early...
5/14 - "It's been a rough go for WFMI this past year, shares are down 25% and YOY sales (growth) at their stores fell to 6.7% from 12% two years ago. Add to it the increasing cost of groceries and it equals a lower stock price for Whole Foods.
The U.S. Labor Department reported this morning that the cost of a bag of groceries jumped 1.5% last month, its steepest one-month rise in 18 years...How do you think this will impact Whole Foods? Badly.
To make matters worse, Whole Foods has 89 new stores under development. And most of them will be larger than its 270 existing stores. Starbucks ...
speaking of WFMI, there is no chance that SWY will ever convert a sufficient proportion of their stores to stave off the next few years of growth. now, beyond 2010 we may need to revisit, as others continue benchmarking to WFMI's store experience; but until then, i never thought i'd hear myself utter the words "leadership, innovation, and grocery" in the same sentence.
WFMI has had a crappy 12 months... but hey, at least they appeared to have bottomed and are marching in the right direction now. This is a fundie call, a techy call, and a quant call. For me, it is the trifecta. All the dweeby things I do to sift through the sludge. I know, "regular" grocery stores are getting into their space...blah blah blah. And banks tried to get into the brokerage/IB space...get the picture. No the guy sitting in your Chase bank branch is not a real broker. He's a good facsimile and may do ok---or might be a disaster. Why not go with the real thing or go it...
My belief is that Whole Foods' investments in new stores is really going to start paying off a year or two in the future. While there's some debate about whether they are opening stores in locations where demand won't exist (such as Portland, ME or Boise, ID), I disagree. Of the cities in the future stores list that I'm familiar with, all would be excellent locations for a Whole Foods (or two or three). Here in San Francisco, they have two locations with three more on the way...and they could easily build another five to meet the demand.
Both love to post anonymous on investment message boards. The difference is that everybody (or almost everybody) knows that Patrick Byrne , CEO of Overstock (ostk), uses the alias Hannibal to post in varoious venues. But in one of the year's most bizarre business stories so far, broken this afternoon on WSJ.com , he has been one-upped by none other than Whole Foods (wfmi) CEO J ohn Mackey, who apparently has been posting for eight years under the alias Rahodeb.
Truth is stranger than fiction" stories don't get better than this. Posting as someone other than himself,
everyone seems to hate whole foods right now as an investment. if its u.k. expansion isn't a flop, and if it can hold onto its margin, then its low valuation relative to its past valuations seems unwarranted.
compared to other grocers, it's got a high valuation, but that's in line with its higher margin. in the past, the valuation was justified by growth expectations. that growth has probably slowed significantly.
and the wild oats acquisition. what's going to happen? probably it'll go through. will this help whole foods? probably not as much as people are hoping, if at all. ...
Whole Foods is a sexy stock that became less sexy last year and will continue to. I will tell you why:
1. Whole Foods is consumed by two people.
First, by the same people who between 2003 and 2007 borrowed almost 80% of price to buy a McMansion, took extra equity out of their suddenly inflated home to go on shopping sprees at Best Buy ( see how I feel about them even after their recent declines ), Pottery Barn, Home Depot, bought H2 Hummers's for their dangerous trips to (coincidentally) Whole Foods and the other aforementioned stores, basically consumed their way into d...
Now trading at what would still be considered a low for this stock, we felt it was time to go in. After beginning their fair trade program last year and continuing to collaborate with other organic and environmentally focused organizations this purchase just makes us feel all tingly. We love to shop their and consequently would love to own this company.
I keep a list of growth stocks that I might be interested in buying if they ever tank enough to selll at less than 20 times earnings. Whole Foods Market, currently selling at 32 times earnings, is on the list. This stock has enjoyed phenomenal growth, but it has been in a downtrend for the last year. I have been watching for signs that WFMI is bottoming out, but recent developments lead me to believe that the company is headed for more trouble in the months ahead...
WFMI is one of my favorite SHORT ideas!
- WFMI is one of my favorite SHORT ideas! I love the stores, I shop there all the time. Problem is, do you really want to own stock in a company that h...
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