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VIV: Bull or Bear?

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has a dominant position and a strong brand in the fast-growing Brazilian wireless business. VIV

19%

+45.45% in 152 days Brazil: Even though nation's key Bovespa Index is up 535% since 2003 -- almost nine times the return of Standard & Poor's 500 Index, Brazil is not perfect, around a third of Brazilians live in poverty, but growth around 4.7% and a sharp drop in inflation have made a middle class a bit richer that is buying wireless phones, traveling or going to college. The world's biggest exporter of raw material is highly dependent of global economy too. It's a question of sustainability and whether a global economic slowdown would temper growth in this emerging market. Anyways, investors shou... Continue reading »

Brazil is calling VIV

54%

+24.23% in 203 days VIV recently turned a quarterly profit.  Improving fundamentals and the appeal of a mobile phone play in Brazil may send this ADR to test $10.  Brazilian equities have had quite a run up but although a pullback is likely, the upward trend for brazilian stocks is likely to continue for several months. EWZ tracks the Bovespa and is a fine way to play this uptrend.  I am also taking small positions in NETC (CABLE, VOIP), VIV (a cell phone service provider) and SBS (a water utility) Continue reading »

Bullish on VIV ... VIV

59%

+7.09% in 3 days (closed on 02/10/08) Im goin' for it. Brazilian - internet - primary cell phone - and child locating svcs w/ 28m subscribers. Continue reading »

From the Blogosphere

Musical Advertising

72%

Vivendi CEO Sees Resurgence of Music Industry; UMG "Next Surprise for Our Investors" By Rafat Ali - Tue 16 Sep 2008 10:45 PM PST Hope spring's eternal in music, and it seems, in the music industry as well. Jean Bernard Levy, the CEO of Vivendi (EPA: VIV) (which owns the biggest label Universal Music Group), told FT that he sees a new age of revenue growth, especially with digital and mobile sales. He cites Nokia's (NYSE: NOK) Comes With Music, Apple's (NSDQ: AAPL) efforts and now MySpace Music as reasons for optimism, despite the gloom and doom in the industry. Universal, which in July repo ... Continue reading »

Vivo a Robust Brazilian Play VIV

+46.37% in 152 days The company has a dominant position and a strong brand in the fast-growing Brazilian wireless business. Continue reading »

In reaction to strong earnings/guidance:

ANSS +9.9%, ARII +9.8%, RIMM +9.3%, LOCM +8.7%, NTES +8.2%, BCSI +7.7%, ITRI +7.0%, NM +6.6%, OCNW +6.5%, FADV +6.5%, TEX +6.4%, SNPS +6.4%, IFSIA +6.0%, GA +5.9%, ADI +4.6%, RRR + 3.5%, TQNT +2.7%, PLLL +2.3%, KDN +1.9%, TRN +1.9%, VIV +1.7%, ACTL +1.3%, JCP +1.3%... M&A news: CPS +43.2% (to be acquired by Reed Elsevier for $50/share), PROS +24.5% (reaches agreement to merge with MIG, PROS shreholders to receive ~$20.00/share), FBN +16.1% (Sun Capital Partners proposes to acquire co at a substantial premium)... Other news: BNVI +18.1% (announces "positive developments" in on-going Phase 1/... Continue reading »

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