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TBT Analysis & Videos »
TBT: Bull or Bear?
Hedging Inflation
TBT
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-2.83%
in
86 days
You might not hear that inflation is here, and it might not be, but, unfortunately, we will be facing the negative effects of inflation sometime in the relatively near future. If you do not setup decent hedges against inflation, your investments that are contingent on low-interest rates will suffer and you will lose some profits. I don't want anyone to get freaked out, and interpret this post as an urging to sell all of your investments and go all short on treasuries. Rather, build up some cash by selling bits and pieces of your investments, and put in place a proper hedge against in...
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shorter-term trade, AND/or long-term trade
TBT
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+8.02%
in
92 days
(closed on 05/05/09)
If stock market rallies in the coming couple months, this trade should do well as people pull money out of T-bills and invest in the stock market again. This will put pressure on T-bills, both long and short term. Should the trade not work out shorter term, due to stock market tanking and people investing in long-term T-bills as safety (a tough scenario in terms of probability I would think), it's still a good longer term trade based on the money-printing folly of the US government. While very little of the "printed" money will actually influence the economy, the full negative side-e...
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TBT bullish on this one .. fo sho
TBT
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+13.43%
in
28 days
(closed on 02/11/09)
TBT bullish on this one .... I am bullish on the Lehman bearish 20 year treasuries. There is an inverse relationship between bond prices and their interest rates. Right now the interest rates are at lows not seen since the 1940's.
Let's keep printing money boys .. going to run this one to the roof.
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Bonds can't go up for ever...
TBT
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+11.88%
in
8 days
(closed on 01/22/09)
Simple idea, as bonds go up, interests rate go down and vice versa. Even if investors want to flee to treasuries MOST of them can't be dumb enough to park their cash in bonds that have a negative yield. Since yields are already at record lows on treasuries it stands to reason that eventually those yields will reverse. Lets hope this one still has some juice left for a continued pop upward.
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UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury ProShares
TBT
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+7.57%
in
316 days
 | TBT: Price Target Revision | | <> <> <> For those of you who are following my "Easy Money" early 2009 trade I suggested last weekend, here's an update. One of the OTC Journal faithful who is much smarter than me pointed out TBT was not likely to trade back to $60 as the Long Bond went down to former levels. The pe...
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Treasury bonds a short
TBT
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+8.26%
in
343 days
90 day T-bills hit a negative yield. The 30 year bond is grossly overbought, the ADX is extremely high @ 81, signs of bearish divergence in accumulation/ distribution , just hit a # 13 sequential sell signal on Friday and bearish pivot yesterday. The recent advance in bond prices has been parabolic and its probably time for a short term pull back.
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Inflation Fears
TBT
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-8.38%
in
240 days
(closed on 06/12/09)
Banks sell anything that is still liquid. Treasury prints money. Long-term inflation. What isn't to like about this trade?
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US Government bonds are the worst investment for the next decade
TBT
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-37.65%
in
519 days
US Government bonds will be destroyed going forward.
Reasons
1.Unwise fiscal policy has resulted in unprecedented money supply growth.This was the root cause for the massive bull market in all assets.But now the cycle has turned and we are going to see unwinding of the bubble in all asset classes.Increase in money supply has resulted in inflation which will continue to increase growing forward since nothing meaningful has been done so far.The central banks have been adding fuel to the fire by pouring in more liquidity when increased money supply was the cause of the malaise.At ...
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About UltraShort Lehman 20+ Year Treasury ProShares
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