In my last article I said that financial insurers could very well be the subject for another piece about financial conundrums. In fact, the conundrum here is very well explained by the unfair behavior of some folks who were shorting those securities, helped by the usual behavior of the mainstream media (a megaphone for the strongest screaming at any given time).
Since then, there have been some excellent pieces, which have done a very good job restoring the truth and exposing the bad faith of some market actors and the lunacy of the rest. As I could not do better and as I hate to waste word
Readers are familiar with my opinion on the proper valuation of Ambac (ABK) and MBIA (MBI). GAAP metrics are not useful: the non-GAAP adjusted book value is the proper measure of their worth, and share prices should recover to that level over the next several years. The primary considerations that are keeping a lid on prices revolve around credibility – specifically, an intertwined set of issues between the bond insurers, their most severe critics (led by Ackman), and the rating agencies, S&P and Moody's. The purpose of this article is to present my analysis, which demonstrates that the rep
Reporting on the daily appreciation of MBIA Inc. (NYSE: MBI) over the last few weeks has made me feel like a play-by-play announcer. One comment in an earlier post on MBIA raked me over the coals for writing when the stock was up 26%, only a few days after I suggested readers take a look at some crushed financials in Serious Money: Tempting fate with 10 financials. He did this even though on the day he commented it was up by 74%.
I was just reporting the jump but the reader took me to task for bra
After a rather nasty stock slide in earnings, share price and reputation MBIA Inc. (NYSE: MBI), the holding company for MBIA Insurance, has finally reported good news for its depressed investors; for the second quarter of 2008 the company's net income was $1.7 billion, or $7.14 per share, an improvement, compared with $211.8 million, or $1.61 per share for the corresponding period of 2007(see more earnings news).
MBIA is generating revenue from existing business b...
Today the Dow Jones Industrial Average bounced back from yesterday's poor showing. It ended the trading day at 11,397.56, that's plus 266.48(+2.39%) returning more than it had lost only 24 hours ago.
There are plenty of prognosticators explaining why this happened and so I am not going to join the crowd this afternoon with my own version. Leave it to say we are i
Today the Dow Jones Industrial Average bounced back from yesterday's poor showing. It ended the trading day at 11,397.56, that's plus 266.48(+2.39%) returning more than it had lost only 24 hours ago.
There are plenty of prognosticators explaining why this happened and so I am not going to join the crowd this afternoon with my own version. Leave it to say we are i
With the recent backing of the gov in this sector, and the potential of covers for all the shorts floating, I think MBI will see some new higher price support for the short term, and a slow rise for long. I vote get in soon, let it simmer!
MBIA Inc. (MBI) and Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (ABK) have
been at the center of the credit and housing crisis as insurers of sub-prime,
sub-A loans, and prime housing loans. Analysts continue to drop the earnings
estimates and the stocks themselves fall to new lows weekly.
MBIA Inc. (MBI) and Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (ABK) have been at the center of the credit and housing crisis as insurers of sub-prime, sub-A loans and prime housing loans. Analysts continue to drop the earnings estimates and the stocks themselves fall to new lows weekly.
There has been some interesting buying in shares of both Ambac (ABK) and MBIA (MBI).
Insiders: MBIA's Chairman Joseph Brown bought 159,000 shares of stock at $5.91 per share last week, giving him 2,611,456 shares of direct ownership.
Ambac's Chairman and CEO Michael A. Callen bought 10,000 company shares at $2.60 per share. Director Laura Unger disclosed transactions from June 3 for purchases of 103,334 shares at $3.00 in two transactions. Jill Considine, Philip Duff, and Henry Wallace all also each bought 33,334 shares at $3.00 on June 3.
Big Fish: Martin Whitman added to his holdings in Ambac
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the value guys threw this party, so respect the hosts.
Sometimes you just feel beaten into being positive. You just say, "OK, enough, I will accept the positives as they are being put out, not as I believe they are."
That's how I felt yesterday about Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) (Cramer's Take). The company put out financials yesterday that looked better than expected, and for once I didn't question whether t...
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says we know how it'll play out. Besides, there's money to be made elsewhere.
Nobody's dissing the credit crisis. We all see it. We know when it is back. We know that the write-offs for the banks and brokers and Fannie (NYSE: FNM) (Cramer's Take) and Freddie (NYSE: FRE) (Cramer's Take) will b...
I apologize if I seem defensive or full of myself, but often when I
strike out with a contrarian opinion, I get a lot of negative feedback.
It often causes me to view things defensively. Case in point - Ambac.<!--more-->
When I first released my analysis on this company, I said:
Ambac is Effectively Insolvent & Will See More than $8 Billion of Losses with Just a $2.26 Billion equity base.
Who's Bullish on MBI & ABK ?
- Have the recent deals between ABK & Citigroup, Meril & SCA and the future deals between Meril and MBI, mean we have seen the bottom?
Are these deal...
Bond Insurer Gets a Boost of Capital
- Bond Insurers have been absolutely crushed by the credit crisis. The two industry leaders Ambac and MBIA have both lost more than 80% of their market v...
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