As noted this morning, I went short coal, natural gas and steel stocks this morning. Here are the trades:
Short 200 shares of ACI at $65.24 (closed at $62.23).
Short 100 shares of APA at $123.37 (closed at 116.96).
Short 100 shares of X at $163.56 (158.17)
Short 200 shares of ZEUS at $59.67 (closed at $56.96)
My strategy was to short on today's strength stocks within these sectors that had
Barron's magazine interviews highly-followed Goldman oil strategist Arjun Murti, who predicted the current oil "super spike" in 2004. He sees the climb peaking somewhere between $150 and $200 -- which could mean $5.75 gasoline.<!---->
Murti dismisses the notion that speculation is driving oil prices to record highs. If so, he counters, why aren't we seeing supply growth?
I outlined my entry in APA on Friday. Today the stock is up over 3 points on a negative day for the market (as of noon eastern time). This is a good example of the power of strong support.
I bought 100 shares of APA at $133.34.
Setup: Trend Pullback. The stock has pulled back to the 50 day moving average, where it found support the last two times it reached this level. Stochastics are oversold and OBV remains stong.
Risk: My intial target is the recent high at $150. I would likely take partial profits, move my stop up to my buy price, and hold the rest into new highs. My stop
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says as crude goes higher, it makes more and more sense to go for other energy options.
Every day that oil goes up, there is a new set of technologies that had formerly been priced out of the market that comes back to life. Let's take wind. Wind, in itself, just seems so stupid. It needs, well, wind. Much of our country doesn't have enough wind to make this economic. There are only certain regions that can really benefit.
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says it's not a strong-dollar sell -- the story here is still too good.
Why did natural gas go down last week? What was that? Inventories were down. The commodity price was up. The fuel itself is green. It is better than ethanol and it is being used to fuel an increasing numbers of cars and trucks.
The whole move down had to have been triggered by something, right? Yeah, how about the fact that the stocks were up a lo...
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says that until we have some clarity on the way out, we'll have a tough road ahead.
This is a confusing moment, for the same reason as always -- the darned mortgage market. Dueling plans seem destined to go nowhere while defaults continue to go up. We need something to stabilize the house price...
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