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 ripetrade1     Graphic_subscribe   

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    Community Rank: Analyst (149 pts)  |  Member since 11/18/2008
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Picks Performance:
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All-time Return
+5.91%
(in 1 year)
Risk (SD)
Conservative
0.00%
Sharpe Ratio
2.81
Followers
1
Winning Picks
4 of 4
Total Views
5630


 Last Activity: Added TBT to bullish list on 12/12/08 

Current Stock List:
Symbol SP Sentiment Rating Return Since
TBT Positive +9.16% 12/12/08




Opinion & Analysis
Graphic_rating_buy Treasury bonds a short   about TBT   12/12/08
90 day T-bills hit a negative yield. The 30 year bond is grossly overbought, the ADX is extremely high @ 81, signs of bearish divergence in accumulation/ distribution , just hit a # 13 sequential se...

Graphic_rating_sell S&P 500 a potential short   about SPY   12/01/08
The S&P futures are currently overbought and the short term pattern is bearish if the S&P futures gap open above Fridays high 896. This pattern has predicted a market decline in every instance out of 2...

Graphic_rating_buy S&P 500 a potential short   about SDS   12/01/08
The S&P futures are currently overbought and the short term pattern is bearish if the S&P futures gap open above Fridays high 896. This pattern has predicted a market decline in every instance...

Graphic_rating_buy S&P 500 a short term buy   about SPY   11/18/08
The current price pattern in the S&P 500, and spike in treasury bond prices set up a bullish short term ( 1-3 day) scenario if the S&P futures have a big gap down on Monday November 17th below ...



Discussions

Trading exit strategy 11/20/08
The true skill comes into play with the exits. Knowing when to take a loss and when to hang on to your profits. “ Know when to hold them and know when to fold them”. To compare some common profit taking exits and to determine which is the best general, all around short term profit taking exit, I ran a series of back tests on the S&P 500,long bond, CRB, and dollar index. here http://ripetra...

Re: S&P 500 a short term buy 11/19/08
I didnt make an adjustment for this example, I probably should have. If you want to adjust for the current volatility I would loosen the stop loss by an amount equal to the increase in the short term ATR vs. very long term ATR like 200 day then I would cut my position size so that Im only risking the same amount of my account with the loose stop loss.




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Avg exp holding time:
94.00 days



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