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This is a partial compilation of Prudent Speculations's posts and is not meant as a complete representation of the blogger's performance.


Prudent Speculations's Blog Posts


Graphic_rating_sell FED   Short Thesis Still Intact at FirstFed 08/27/08   —  I have been bearish on FirstFed Financial (FED) for sometime and despite the stock’s recent run up and what would appear at first glance to be a slight improvement in the company’s underlying fundamentals, I believe that the short case for the company bears reiteration.  FirstFed, like all Calif...
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Graphic_rating_buy ATN   Graphic_rating_buy ATLS   Atlas Energy: More 'Criminally Undervalued' Than Cramer Realizes 08/22/08   —  As many of you know, I have been a longtime fan of the Atlas family of companies.  For those that are interested you can find a brief write up of mine of the parent company, Atlas America (ATLS) here.  Of the Atlas America subsidiaries, Atlas Energy Resources (ATN) has been catching the eye of mem...
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Graphic_rating_buy POCC   Graphic_rating_buy RVEP   Penn Octane Corp.: MicroCap Oil and Gas Property Developer with Big Potential 08/12/08   —  Penn Octane (POCC) is a micro-cap company whose upside will be driven by the migration of U.S. oil and gas properties into the MLP structure. Penn Octane owns 75% of Rio Vista Energy Partners' (RVEP) general partner, entitling Penn Octane to an ever-increasing share of Rio Vistas’ distributions. Up...
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Graphic_rating_buy UAM   UHCO   Is There Hidden Value in Universal American? 08/06/08   —  I have followed Universal American (UAM) ever since it was Universal American Financial (UHCO) and I even managed to own shares in the company from 2004-2005 during the stock’s great run up in preparation for the company’s entrance into the realm of Medicare supported insurance products for the e...
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WB   BAC   Wait for August FFIEC Call Reports Before Taking a Long Position in Banks 07/24/08   —  Nearly every major commercial bank has reported earnings over the last week.  The results have ranged from an $8.8 billion dollar loss at Wachovia (WB) to a $3.4 billion dollar profit at Bank of America (BAC).  The bank’s capital ratios have stayed adequate for the most part, even if it has meant...
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Graphic_rating_buy QRCP   Graphic_rating_buy ATLS   The Quest for Marcellus Shale Exposure 07/17/08   —  The Marcellus Shale is quickly becoming the biggest thing in the U.S. natural gas industry since the Barnett Shale. You can hardly watch CNBC without hearing Jim Cramer talk about the Marcellus Shale and his “wildcat drillers.” As investors, we know that if you want exposure to the Marcellus you cann...
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Graphic_rating_buy MBR   Betting on a Banker's Bank 07/11/08   —  I have found over the years that one of the most successful investments that one can make is to put a little money in a privately held community bank at its inception.  A common strategy taken during the start up of a community bank is for a group of local investors to acquirer a state bank charter f...
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RSO   Graphic_rating_buy REXI   Following the Coopermans: Resource America, Atlas America 07/02/08   —  While it is important to always undertake a large amount of due diligence when researching an investment idea, it is just as important to make sure that after a period of time you’re not the only one who has come to the conclusion that your particular investment is so extraordinarily undervalued.  Th...
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Graphic_rating_buy REXI   Insiders Showing Faith in Resource America 06/24/08   —  In my previous article, which can be found here, I detailed why I believe that Resource America (REXI) is extremely undervalued.  Since that article, there have been two developments that have reinforced my belief that Resource America represents the chance to own a company that will without a doubt ...
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Graphic_rating_buy AHD   APL   Atlas Pipeline Holdings: Accelerated Growth in the Pipeline 06/18/08   —  Atlas Pipeline Holdings (AHD) is an unusual company. The company does not directly own any hard assets or have any operations of any significance. Instead, the company holds ownership interests in Atlas Pipeline Partners (APL). Atlas Pipeline Partners is one of the largest natural gas transporters an...
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Graphic_rating_buy QRCP   QELP   Quest Resources Expands in the Marcellus Shale Play 06/12/08   —  In my previous article on Quest Resources (QRCP), which can be found here, I talked about the significant growth that is possible from the acquisition of developed properties by Quest Energy Partners (QELP), a subsidiary of Quest Resources.  This week, Quest Resources and Quest Energy Partners jointl...
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Graphic_rating_buy GFIG   GFI Group Is Not Your Typical Brokerage 06/12/08   —  I have followed GFI Group (GFIG) for sometime.  The stock is currently well off its highs but at its current levels still represents a rare opportunity for investors to profit from one of the world most rapidly growing and changing components of the financial market.  The trading of derivatives has b...
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QELP   Graphic_rating_buy QRCP   Quest Resources Seems Excessively Undervalued 05/28/08   —  Quest Resource Corp (QRCP) is a fast growing natural gas driller. Quest Resources recently revamped its corporate structure with the packaging of its upstream and midstream operations into two MLPs, Quest Midstream Partners (which is not publicly traded) and Quest Energy Partners (QELP).  Quest Resou...
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Graphic_rating_buy REXI   Resource America Unfairly Punished by the Credit Crunch 05/21/08   —  Since late July, nearly everything related to the financial sector has been sold off by panicky investors fearful of finding themselves holding worthless paper. Securities that have been particularly hard hit have been those related to the new alphabet soup of recently invented financial instruments...
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Graphic_rating_buy OC   USG   Buffett Should Have Picked Owens Corning Over USG 05/15/08   —  I have been a holder of Owens Corning (NYSE: OC) for a little over a year now. I was first attracted to the company after Warren Buffett began to build a position in USG Corp. (NYSE: USG). USG and Owens Corning are very similar, as both are tied a great deal to the U.S. economy and the housing mark...
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RAS   Are the Commercial REITs Now Stabilizing? 05/08/08   —  It would appear from the recent quarterly reports of four commercial REITs that the credit market, at least in the ways that it affects the commerical REITs, is beginning to stabilize.  <!--more-->Here is a list of the four REITs that, when you consider what has happend over the last year, ha...
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ROCK-STAR INVESTORS
Rank Name Sharpe Ratio Avg Return Followers
1 noshoes 29.65 +61.65% 160
2 Gerald Greene 21.24 +48.89% 49
3 The Big Bear 19.00 +49.44% 205
4 krprasad 17.77 +19.60% 4
5 David Young 15.63 +16.16% 6


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