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     This is a related view to:
        Cisco Systems Still a Wait and See   by Thomas Catino (Ant & Sons) on 08/11/08

0 pt

Cisco Currently Looks Cheap

 Aug 11, 2008 12:54 AM UTC
Return Risk
-33.75% HIGH
Tracked Blogger
Symbol Sentiment Start Return Closed
CSCO Positive 08/11/08 -34.29% --

8/8 - "At Valuecruncher we decided to put some numbers around the potential future performance of CSCO using our on-line valuation tool...Our assumptions of revenues for the next three years are $43.5 billion in 2009 growing to $52.5 billion in 2011 – a 10% compound annual growth rate. We have projected EBITDA margins to grow from 29.0% in 2009 to 30.0% in 2011."

"We have used a terminal growth rate of 4.5%. We calculated this terminal growth rate based on year three growth of 10% dropping to a 4.0% stable growth rate by year 10. We used a terminal capital expenditure number of US$1.25 billion. We have used a WACC (discount rate) of 10.5%."

"Our analysis gives a valuation of $28.51 per share, which is 19% above the current share price of $23.93...Based on our analysis the current share price looks cheap."




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