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GM and Ford: Still Easy Shorts |
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| Jun 22, 2008 10:32 AM UTC |
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Tracked Blogger
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Via Short Stock Ideas from Seeking Alpha:
On April 9th, I published an article concerning the inevitable downside that was to be found in US auto stocks, more specifically Ford (F) and GM (GM) (Why Auto Stocks Are an Easy Short). This article drew a fair amount of criticism, with comments ranging from my “high school writing” to my “novice investment style.” However, the fact of the matter is that the tape doesn’t lie, as both Ford and GM are trading at -15% and -33% respectively than they were just two months ago. Now, I’m sorry, but that’s what I like to call a quality short play. So what can we expect from Ford and GM in the next few months? Well, expect more of the same. Nothing has changed at Ford and GM over the past couple of months, except for the slight possibility that the management at these companies may FINALLY be realizing that SUVs and trucks are going to be a fairly poor gamelan for the foreseeable future. Oil is only going to get more expensive and anyone who actually believes that oil will retreat back to the levels of six months ago is not only unrealistic, but just plain ridiculous. It’s not rocket science, just simple economics: the BRIC countries are developing exponentially, causing the demand of oil to outstrip supply and right now, it’s a losing battle. 
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