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End of Microsoft Talks Leaves Yahoo! Competitively Challenged, Expensively Priced |
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| Jun 14, 2008 11:09 PM UTC |
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Tracked Blogger
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6/13 - "Yahoo! sees the (Google) deal adding as much as $800 million in annual revenue, with as much as $250 million to $450 million in incremental operating cash flow...It's a smart financial move, but it moves Yahoo! another rung lower on the ladder of relevance. Yahoo! has the option of running its own ads, but why should it? Once investors taste what's possible under Google, they'll wonder why Yahoo! didn't break the emergency glass sooner." "Yahoo! has tapped its balance sheet in acquiring display-advertising upstarts, an area that isn't as lucrative as paid search but is well suited for Yahoo!'s high volume of low-quality page views...Yahoo! itself isn't a low-quality company, but the traffic generated for its free email and its news portals is a weak sell for advertisers looking for marketable leads...I'll confess that I never understood why Microsoft would overpay for Yahoo! the way it did with its offer...Giants such as Google and smaller players such as IAC's (Nasdaq: IACI) Ask.com have been eating up Yahoo!'s fading (online advertising) market share. " "Yahoo! was also trading in the high teens when Microsoft stepped in earlier this year. Now that Microsoft seems out of the picture, at least until it can try again next January at a lower price, Yahoo! will have to earn its keep. Even at yesterday's close of $23.52, Yahoo! is still expensive relative to the earnings valuations of its faster-growing rivals."
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Yahoo!'s Rejection Represents Destruction of Shareholder Wealth, Competitive Balance
6/13 - "I don’t believe that there is anything Yahoo could do at this point to further destroy their business that would surprise me...The deal terms announced with Google appear to be fairly innocent - a non-exclusive arrangement that let’s Yahoo take Google’s ads if and when they choose to, and put them alongside their own ads, and/or other third party ads. But the truth is that this will cau...
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Analysts: Recent Deal Great for Google, Moderately Good for Yahoo!
6/13 - "Imran Khan, J.P. Morgan: “We think that Google is the big winner in this deal. We think Google will benefit in 3 key ways: 1) we think Google will gain ~$90M in net revenue from the outsourced Yahoo! search, 2) Google could gain an additional $182M in F09 net revenue through migration of some of Yahoo!’s affiliate network to the Google platform, and 3) Google could get an additional $28...
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risk: moderate |
Microsoft Set to Move Higher with Yahoo! Deal Off the Table
6/13 - "Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) was like a coiled spring waiting to pop as soon as the software maker received word that the Yahoo deal was officially dead...The companies have given three months to allow the feds to review the deal, so there is a small window of time if Microsoft does really want to pursue Yahoo, though it’s probably unlikely it does so."
"With the weight of a $44 billion do...
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Google Deal is No Guarantee that Microsoft Won't Be Back
6/13 - "Either Yahoo or Google can spike the deal if there’s a “change in control” of the other company. Broad generic definition: Someone else controls 50% or more of its voting securities. But the language is tweaked to account for Microsoft (MSFT), Time Warner (TWX), or News Corp. (NWS): If any of those buyers ends up with 35% of Yahoo, Google can walk away."
"If Microsoft acquires more t...
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