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Bullish Hedged Trade on Disney Looks Good Following Earnings |
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| May 08, 2008 06:22 PM UTC |
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Tracked Blogger
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5/7 - "Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS) shares are trading about $1 higher after the company reported a second-quarter profit of $1.13 billion or $0.58 per share, beating analysts' estimates of $0.51 per share. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on DIS." "For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bull-put credit spread below the $30 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in just two and a half months as long as DIS is above $30 at July expiration. Disney would have to fall by more than 14% before we would start to lose money." "This trade could be risky if the slowing US economy starts to hurt DIS more, but even if that happens, that position could be protected by support the stock might find just at $30, where it bottomed out in the past month." 
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4 Related Views
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 N/A risk: moderate |
Disney Earns its Ears
5/7 - "Last night's quarter was a beauty. Earnings from continuing operations climbed 23% to $1.1 billion, or $0.58 a share. Revenue inched 10% higher to $8.7 billion, with all four of Disney's operating segments posting year-over-year gains."
"Wall Street was nervously anticipating the company's theme park numbers, and they were brilliant. Revenue and operating profits rose 11% and 33%, res...
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Disney Beats and Iger Speaks
5/8 - "So how did the parks and resorts stay so strong? Internationally, the weak dollar certainly helped, and Disneyland Paris finally started taking off. The U.S. parks also benefited from the weak dollar, which drove foreign tourists to stay at the parks and spend big. But what's most surprising is that U.S. visitors continued to spend at the parks, no matter how tight their pocketbooks."
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What Do Disney's Numbers Say About the U.S. Economy?
5/8 - "(Disney's) theme park revenues and earnings for the quarter ended March 31, released on Tuesday, were impressive. Its revenues were up 11%, and operating income was up 33%.
But, there are a couple of caveats. The press release noted:
'Higher attendance was primarily driven by the benefit of the shift of the Easter holiday. '
The other caveat was that the number of foreign visito...
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84% risk: moderate |
Wall Street Misreads Disney's Results
5/7 - "Wall St. opened the champagne and passed around the caviar. The Disney theme park business, which analysts view as a proxy for consumer spending, posted a revenue increase of 11% to $2.725 billion.
Of course, no one bothered to read the fine print. Easter moved into the first quarter this year. Last year it was in the second...The total increase in Disney theme park revenue was well u...
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