SocialPicks Monitor new  |    Stock Idea Community
SocialPicks
   Sign Up   |   Log In   |   What is SocialPicks?     
The Stock Idea & Analysis Community
SocialPicks is a community where stock investors exchange ideas and track performance of financial bloggers.
Top_member_photos
Get free stock picks and email alerts daily
 
Are you a stock guru?

0 pt

CVS Poised to Do Well Over Long-Term

 May 06, 2008 06:55 PM UTC
Return Risk
-23.99% MID
Tracked Blogger
Symbol Sentiment Start Return Closed
CVS Positive 05/06/08 -31.40% --

5/5 - "CVS Caremark (NYSE: CVS), a big competitor of both Walgreen (NYSE: WAG) and Rite Aid (NYSE: RAD), released its Q1 earnings last week. They were very good, and they reminded me that I probably need to throw a drugstore chain's stock in my core portfolio as a long-term play on the increasing health-care needs of the baby boomers (and every other demo, for that matter)...The Caremark merger has obviously proven to be a good move."

"Buying at the 52-week high is always a dicey thing, but if you plan on holding for years, it wouldn't be that much of a concern. Shorter-term traders would need to wait for a pullback. But I like the first quarter results for CVS, and I think the stock is poised to do well over time. And like I said at the beginning, this really may be a stock for the core portion of an individual's investment program -- a true buy-and-hold idea."


Blogger & Analyst Views:

N/A
-29.64%
 risk: moderate

Graphic_rating_buy CVS   CVS One of the Best-Positioned Retail Growth Companies

5/2 - "Chief Financial Officer David Rickard noted on the conference call that consumers may be hesitating to buy large-ticket discretionary items, but small-ticket items like Snickers bars still are finding their way into shopping baskets. Of course, front-end (retail) items only make up about 15% of revenue for CVS, but they are an important driver of transaction size and overall profitability."

"Management is also touting its success with in-store MinuteClinics, serving 300,000 customers this past quarter. At 510 clinics in operation, that works out to 6.5 customers a day, which doesn't sound like droves to me. But CVS has a significant "first mover" advantage over Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) and Walgreen (NYSE: WAG) in this new venture."

"Overall, I continue to see CVS as one of the best-positioned retail growth companies. Selling at 21 times its trailing earnings, the stock is priced at a premium compared to the rest of the field...But CVS looks like a solid choice to me at this point."


N/A
-29.31%
 risk: moderate

Graphic_rating_buy WAG   Dykstra's Deep-in-the-Money Call: Walgreen

4/28 - "Walgreen is a solid play. The company beat Wall Street's earnings expectations a month ago when it announced its fiscal second-quarter results. Its sales jumped more than 10% from the year-ago period.

The company said on Friday it completed its tender offer for I-trax(DMX - Cramer's Take - Stockpickr), which it acquired for $5.40 a share. The move is part of Walgreen's plan to build a new health and wellness unit. Furthermore, I like Walgreen's potential. With an aging population and the company's business of selling prescription drugs, I like its chances.

Therefore, I am placing a limit order to buy 10 contracts of the October $30.00 DITM calls (WAGJF) for $6.50 or better."


N/A
+80.15%
 risk: moderate

WAG   Walgreen Feels Wal-Mart Pressure; Maintaining Hold

4/16 - "While maintaining a pristine balance sheet, management continues Walgreen's (WAG) new store expansion strategy. However, beginning in 2006, management began implementing a more aggressive strategy that includes acquisitions...In addition, pharmacy profits are being pressured due to lower reimbursements on some generic drugs and additional pricing pressure from Wal-Mart (WMT), which has entered the retail generic marketplace."

"The Hold rating on Walgreen Company is maintained. Walgreen's is currently selling at 17.0 times trailing 12-month EPS...The target price of $38.75 is based on an 18.5 P/E on trailing 12-month earnings."


N/A
+80.15%
 risk: moderate

Graphic_rating_sell RAD   Risks with Rite Aid Turnaround Make Stock a Sell

5/5 - "Management at the Rite Aid Corporation (RAD) is executing a turnaround strategy centered on increasing the profitability of the existing store base, which includes improving the product mix with generic and private label products. Nevertheless, management acquired the Brooks Eckerd chain prior to a convincing turnaround in profitability.

Also, Wal-Mart's (WMT) initiative to enter the retail generic drug market should pressure the company's pharmacy margin. Importantly, the company has a large debt burden. Given management s EPS guidance for fiscal 2009, the stock is rated a Sell...Due to the company being in a turnaround phase with a high debt burden, the determination of Rite Aid's stock valuation is challenging. Until there is strong evidence of sales improvement, the tentative target price is $2.50 based on a 0.075 price-to-sales ratio (based on expected post-merger annualized sales)."



Add Comment

Be the first to comment on this story and earn 2 points.

Your Comment



ROCK-STAR INVESTORS
Rank Name Sharpe Ratio Avg Return Followers
1 18.70 +40.85% 174
2 17.51 +40.49% 57
3 16.70 +18.24% 7
4 14.22 +37.54% 211
5 13.70 +16.71% 40


POPULAR STOCKS
Symbol Company Name Sentiment

TODAY'S HEADLINES

TODAY'S TOP PICKS

 
CVS Corp. (CVS)
   SocialPicks Sentiment:   

   This Quarter's Sentiment:
All:
90.0%
Top:
38.5%




TODAY'S HEADLINES





IN THE PRESS
Press_forbes Press_washingtonpost Press_wsj Press_npr Press_techcrunch