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Growth Slowing for Sirius and Merger Synergies Could Take Time; Reiterate Hold

 May 02, 2008 05:11 PM UTC
Symbol Sentiment Start Return Closed
SIRI Neutral/Hold 05/02/08 -27.41% --

4/24 - "...it seems unlikely that the FCC will vote on the
merger at its May 14 meeting. A ruling by late May or early
June could occur. We believe the FCC is highly likely to
approve the merger with relatively modest conditions."

"Sirius should report first quarter 2008 results in early May
showing 370,000 net new subscriber additions, down from 556,000 a year ago...Sirius could end the first quarter with 8.7 million subscribers, up 32% year over year. We anticipate the majority of subscriber additions will come from OEM automotive distribution. Sirius should continue to lead the satellite radio industry in terms of its subscriber growth rate, but growth has slowed...We forecast 2008 full year revenue of $1.2 billion and an oibda loss of $206 million. EPS may be a loss of $0.30."

"Sirius trades at 5x 2008E revenue and $531 per our 2008
subscriber estimate of 10.0 million. By comparison, XM’s valuation implies 4x 2008E revenue and $535 per subscriber. Our valuation is based on the present value of future subscriber growth and free cash flow potential."

"Our $3 price target reflects a more moderate near-term growth in satellite radio and more cautious view that merger synergies could take several years to meaningfully change the financials and valuation...We rate Sirius Satellite Radio a Hold."





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trucknd   79%     1 point   commented 1302 days ago reply

November 03, 2008
Shareholders Fighting SIRIUS XM To The Core (SIRI)
If you are one of the hundreds of thousands of investors following penny stocks and low-priced stocks such as SIRIUS XM Radio Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI), then you will not be surprised to learn that more than 500 shareholders are going after SIRIUS XM's management.
According to a press release, the group is using racketeering laws laws under the RICO Act, breach of fiduciary duties, and the Sherman Act.
The goal is to oust management and to prevent further dilution and a possible reverse stock split. It may also prevent Mel Karmazin from being able to take the company private as some reports and speculators have discussed.
Based upon the horrible share price performance and questions over whether or not Sirius will be able to keep its stock exchange listing, it is really difficult to think that a large shareholder group won't be able to be ignored by the company or by the media to force at least some of the changes.
Jon C. Ogg
November 3, 2008
Below is a copy of the full release which was sent directly to us from the "Save SIRIUS" source.

SIRIUS Shareholders File Suit Against SIRIUS XM Radio Management
LOS ANGELES, Nov. 3 /PRNewswire/ -- The following is being issued by
"Save Sirius":
A group of incensed shareholders, over 500 strong and growing, have
banned together and accused SIRIUS XM management of unjustly enriching
themselves at the expense of shareholders.
A derivative suit on behalf of shareholders has been filed in the
United States District Court, Central District of California, Southern
Division. Case number SACV08-00790CJC
The case accuses management of violations of the FEDERAL RACKETEER
INFLUENCED AND CORRUPT ORGANIZATIONS ACT (RICO), BREACH OF THE FIDUCIARY
DUTY AND THE SHERMAN ACT.
This suit seeks to prevent management from further damaging its
shareholders with massive amounts of additional dilution (8 billion shares
in the fully diluted float) and as much as a 1 for 50 reverse stock split.
"We are working to gain control of our company by seeking to remove
current members of the board as well as top executive Mel Karmazin," said
Michael Hartleib on behalf of Save Sirius and its members. In a September
15th 2008 Wall Street Journal article written by Sarah McBride, she states,
"Given Sirius XM's low stock price, Mr. Karmazin said he would love to take
the company private. But given the state of the credit markets, 'How do you
find [the money] today?' If the company were generating positive cash flow,
which he expects it to do for the full year in 2009, privatization would
become much more feasible, he says."
It is clear that management under Mr. Karmazin's leadership has an
agenda to steal this company from its shareholders.
Given Management's history of:
-- Locking their shareholders into the longest merger delay in history;
-- Preventing the Corporation from seeking alternatives or potential
suitors;
-- Failing to commercially introduce interoperable radios;
-- Their insistence on going forward with the merger at any and all costs;
-- Consummating the merger issuing 300 million shares to the financiers of
XM's debt to be sold short on the open market
Mr. Karmazin and the board have severely damaged shareholder value in
violation of their fiduciary duties. Shareholders have lost over 90% of
their value under Mr. Karmazin's leadership.
"In light of the aforementioned, it is clear that they have lost sight
of their obligations to shareholders and have breached and will continue to
breach their fiduciary duties in the future. We, as a group, will not stand
for this and will use any means possible to prevent and preclude them from
stealing this company from its rightful owners -- we the shareholders,"
said Michael Hartleib, on behalf of Save Sirius and its members.
Contact:
Michael Hartleib
(949) 795-0580
savesirius@gmail.com

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trucknd   79%     1 point   commented 1299 days ago reply

if you are sirixm holder and know other shareholders please pass this on SAVE SIRIUS

P.O. Box 7078

Laguna Niguel, CA 92607

949-795-0580

November 5, 2008

Gary Parsons

Chairman of the Board

c/o Board of Directors

Sirius Satellite Radio, Inc.

1221 Avenue of the Americas

36th Floor

New York, NY 10020

Sub: Formal Letter of Demand

I am a shareholder and a member of the recently formed shareholders’ group, Save Sirius. Save Sirius and its members, in this Formal Letter of Demand, call on the Sirius XM Board of Directors to:

Postpone the vote that is asking shareholders to consider the further dilution and increase of shares from 4.5 billion to 8 billion in the fully diluted float
Postpone the proposed reverse split ranging from 1 for 10 to 1 for 50.
In light of the abysmal stock performance and dire financial situation, we demand that all stock and other bonuses be suspended immediately until the return to these compensation plans would be commensurate with the concept of “performance based compensation”

Given the NASDAQ’s reprieve of delisting securities below a dollar, there is time for this board to convene an emergency meeting to consider other options, such as but not limited to, self-funding by shareholders. This will give the Corporation time and means to obtain the additional funding from a position of strength and not from a position of desperation.

We are calling on the board to indefinitely postpone the shareholder vote giving time for management and its shareholders to address any and all viable options to prevent the massive amounts of dilution being proposed by this board as well as the proposed reverse stock split. We demand the board grant a meeting with all interested parties to address alternatives that would be more in line with shareholders’ interests.

If the board continues with the scheduled vote, not meeting our demands, we will hold them in violation of their fiduciary duties and seek injunctive relief.

As the board is aware, there are (RICO) charges pending before a Federal Court in California that accuse this board and its executives of racketeering, breach of fiduciary duty as well as Sherman Act Violations.

The conspiracy to withhold and commercially introduce interoperable radios, to obtain control of all of the SDARS spectrum and to consummate the merger between XM and Sirius at any and all cost, without consideration of the impact on the corporation and its shareholders, gives us cause to deem this board not fit to make proper decisions on behalf of the shareholders.

c/o Board of Directors

November 5, 2008

Page 2

It is inconceivable that this board would lock their shareholders into the longest merger delay in history without having already obtained the proper financing. This board and CEO Mel Karmazin, publicly stated on multiple occasions that if this merger was not in the shareholders’ best interest and “did not make sense”, they would walk away. The fact that the promises made to the shareholders were breached and that

this merger was consummated under what Mr. Karmazin called “toxic terms” has resulted in catastrophic losses (over 90%) in shareholder value. It should be noted that the “toxic terms”( included the issuance of 300 million shares of the Corporation stock to be given to the financiers of XM’s debt for the sole purpose of being sold short on the open market). It is clear that this board is self dealing and it has not fulfilled its fiduciary duty to shareholders.

This has been a well-orchestrated multi-year conspiracy to consolidate the SDARS spectrum which included willful violation of their licensing mandate as well as willful violation of their Joint Development Agreement. The final chapter in the conspiracy will be to privatize the combined entities thereby stealing it from its rightful owners, the shareholders.

Mr. Karmazin was brought out of retirement by Mr. Leon Black of Apollo, a member of the board. In a September 15th 2008 Wall Street Journal article written by Sarah McBride, she states,

"Given Sirius XM's low stock price, Mr. Karmazin said he would love to take the company private. But given the state of the credit markets, 'How do you find [the money] today?' If the company were generating positive cash flow, which he expects it to do for the full year in 2009, privatization would become much more feasible, he says."

Given Mr. Karmazin’s connection with Mr. Leon Black (founder of one of the largest private equity firms in the country), as well as comments made in his Wall Street Journal interview, it is obvious there are severe conflicts of interest between Mr. Karmazin, the board, and their shareholders. It is their goal to privatize this company that is completely adverse to their fiduciary responsibility to enhance shareholder value. To suggest privatization at these levels speaks for itself and the board should call for Mr. Karmazin’s resignation. We are asking those board members who have been complicit in this conspiracy, to step up and perform their fiduciary duty to we the shareholders, by seeking an orderly replacement of our CEO. We would like to take this opportunity to remind the board and executives of SiriusXM that they work for us. It is we, the shareholders, that own this company.

As stated above, if the board continues with the scheduled vote, not meeting our demands, we will hold them in violation of their fiduciary duties and seek injunctive relief. As time is of the essence, we expect a written response within five days from receipt of this letter. Your failure to respond accordingly will result in drafting of the required documents to seek a preliminary injunction.

Respectfully submitted on behalf of Save Sirius:

SaveSirius@gmail.com SaveSirius.org

Signed By: ___________________________________ _________________

Print Name Date

___________________________________

Signature

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mbtshoe   N/A     1 point   commented 599 days ago reply

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mbtshoe   N/A     1 point   commented 599 days ago reply

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