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A Little More Understanding of Cycles |
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| Mar 24, 2008 04:07 PM UTC |
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Tracked Blogger
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3/24 - "I have noted my belief that just about every aspect of of the way this market has rolled over into what looks like a bear market and the big picture catalysts that triggered it has been very textbook...In that light it is possible that it could continue to be textbook throughout the process and on into the eventual real upturn." "Of course anything is possible. A bottom could be in, there might not be a recession and now could be the time to buy. I don’t think any of that is the case but it could be...This is the nature of feel good rallies. You wonder if this is the rally and often these moves draw people in only to endure a bit more whooshing." 
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3 Related Views
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Do Turning Points Represent Opportunity?
3/24 - "I definitely agree that there are plenty of opportunities, but here's my little quibble: the best opportunities are not during expansions or contractions, but during turning points."
"When the turning point comes, the opportunities will be abundant for those who have been out hustling."
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N/A risk: moderate |
Four Reasons to Believe in the "Bear Stearns Bottom"
3/24 - "Last Monday, I wrote on my blog that I thought it was likely we had seen the lows. Still, I wanted to see how the market fared on Tuesday, so I held off submitting my column. I never thought Tuesday would see such a huge rally, but it just reinforces my view."
"The technicals often do a better job of highlighting bottoms, even though you never truly know without hindsight...if you lo...
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N/A risk: moderate |
Interpreting a Volatile Week
3/23 - "The most important factors are bullish...These elements took the market from a death watch -- everyone guessing who would be the next "Bear" -- to a situation where Punk Ziegel's, Richard Bove, called bank stocks the buying opportunity of a generation."
"Wednesday's trading, down nearly 300 in the DJIA, was the disturbing factor for the week...We agree that there was nothing in the F...
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