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 joeyjoejoe     Graphic_subscribe   

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    Community Rank: Sr. Analyst (427 pts)  |  Member since 07/06/2008
Intelligence
Picks Performance:
Outperforms
60%
of community

All-time Return
-16.22%
(in 4 months)
Risk (SD)
Conservative
1.55%
Sharpe Ratio
-11.14
Followers
1
Winning Picks
9 of 42
Total Views
9742


 Last Activity: Added CHK to bullish list on 09/20/08 

Current Stock List:
Symbol SP Sentiment Rating Return Since
CHK Positive -66.87% 09/20/08
RY Positive -42.60% 09/20/08
LEH Negative +100.00% 09/09/08
C Positive -75.30% 09/08/08
MER Positive -70.22% 09/08/08
UUP Positive +8.39% 09/08/08
DIG Positive -56.03% 09/08/08
URE Positive -82.71% 09/08/08
UYG Positive -74.92% 09/08/08
RIMM Positive -67.43% 08/20/08




Opinion & Analysis
Graphic_rating_buy Oil is on a reversal will level off above $100   about CHK   09/20/08
Oil is on a reversal

Graphic_rating_buy Royal is a smart buyer who avoided the crisis   about RY   09/20/08
Royal is a smart buyer who avoided the crisis

Graphic_rating_sell Options imply $5 is realistic as the Koreans walk a..   about LEH   09/09/08
Options imply $5 is realistic as the Koreans walk away

Graphic_rating_buy C will bounce on Freddie/Fannie   about C   09/08/08
C will bounce on Freddie/Fannie

Graphic_rating_buy MER will bounce on Freddie/Fannie   about MER   09/08/08
MER will bounce on Freddie/Fannie



Discussions

Housing still a problem so WB has a problem 07/25/08
Market got carried away with itself last week with the 20% rally in financials of which Wach was a big part.
Reality is back
1) Fed says it will hike before the housing problems are solved.
2) Housing is still a problem especially in the West and South East which means credit is a problem which means WB still has a problem because most of their loans are in those regions.


Re: Lehman Brothers will continue to bleed 07/25/08
Market got carried away with itself last week with the 20% rally in financials of which Lehman was a big part. Reality is back 1) Fed says it will hike before the housing problems are solved. 2) Housing is still a problem which means credit is a problem which means Lehman still has a problem.

Re: Lehman Brothers will continue to bleed 07/25/08
Market got carried away with itself last week with the 20% rally in financials of which Lehman was a big part. Reality is back 1) Fed says it will hike before the housing problems are solved. 2) Housing is still a problem which means credit is a problem which means Lehman still has a problem.

Re: Market has a gun & it will use it.... 07/16/08
I don't think it will go bankrupt I think it will get seriously harmed. No where do I say it will go under. The bank failures will likely be the smaller banks but the market does see weakness in WACH so you never know. Wachovia just sold their NY HQ at a discount one year after acquiring the stake and I've read in the media that they have eatten through have the capital they raised in the s...

Market has a gun & its not afraid to use it 07/15/08
Today just reenforces to sell harder. Cramer and others are telling people the bodies are coming and the market is now expecting it.

Who are these bad banks of which Cramer speaks? He broke them up into two tiers:

The Worst:
Downey DOWNEY FINL CORP (DSL), Corus (CORS), FirstFed Financial (FED) and BankUnited (BKUNA).

Almost as Bad as the Worst:
National Ci...





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