Let's look at the numbers:
GU plans to make $1.24 in '07 (reporting this month)
GU plans to make $1.86 in '08 (for an yoy growth of 50%)
The stock is priced at $11.50 for a P/E of 9 on the est of $1.24 (is this P/E low for a 50% growth rate?)
Conclusion the earnings report is critical to show that this company can do what it says but if it can the price will jump very fast.
NOW BEHIND THE NUMBERS:
GU just opened a new plant adding 50,000 tons to the company's annual biodiesel production capacity for a total of 240,000 tons (that's up 26%). Annual capacity of the Beijing plant is expected to increase to 100,000 tons in the fourth quarter of 2008 when additional expansion is completed. Gu then plans to increase their annual production capacity to 400,000 tons by the end of 2008 with the expansion or addition of new production facilities in Beijing,Shanghai, Hunan and Chongqing. The end of '07 capacity was 190,000 tons, the estimated capacity for end of '08 is 400,000 tons (that's 111% growth in capacity!)
Hopefully, GU will have unbelievable demand and will be able to continue to operate at full capacity at year end of '08.
All China plays have inherent risk. GU must deliver what it says it can and it's shares will be rewarded greatly!
$12.06 (02/18/08)
Agree
Disagree
