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+ This pick is a response to an analysis by wtsantos ...

10 pts

Opinion on  Apple Computer Inc (AAPL)     Sector: Technology  >  Industry: Computer Hardware
Bearish on AAPL ...

Feb 01, 2008 08:15 PM GMT
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Return Risk
-11.21% MID
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Apple has a huge P/E of 29, while at the same time it will never ever pay dividends. Eventually, Sony or someone else will come up with a better jPod, and the hype surrounding products like the jPhone will die down as people realize that they aren't worth their price tag, especially during a potential recession.

Good Luck,
~~~~Shane Halloran.


Update 03/08:

Hi, a new blog entry explains why I'm currently shorting major tech stocks (GOOG, AMZN, AAPL, EBAY): http://shanehalloran.wordpress.com/2008/03/08/whooogle/ .


AAPL:  This call was made on 02/01/08 @ $134.07001
Rating:   Negative   $134.07001 (02/01/08)
Gain/Loss:   -44.72% in 645 days


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utopius   83%     1 point   commented 173 days ago reply

iPhone prices have come down since you wrote this, and they may come down even further this year. The monthly data price is even rumored to be lower this year. Sony? Do they still make phones? If you do cash-flow accounting for Apple, to net out the effect from iPhone 24-month revenue recognition, that P/E number you had there is much much lower. Compared to Amazon, it's a very wide discrepancy. Interesting, considering Apple can now sell books, movies, music, and even games in a more efficient manner than Amazon from now and in the future!


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Thomas George  9 % 06/13/2008
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