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6 pts

Opinion on  Lowe's Companies Inc. (LOW)     Sector: Services  >  Industry: Retail (Home Improvement)
Housing disaster has just begun-- who needs granite countertops?

Oct 11, 2007 09:46 PM UTC
Anything
Return Risk
+18.29% LOW
Associate

Walked into a Lowe's the other day, and was frightened by the sheer unattractiveness of the store to a consumer.  I realized later that the store wasn't organized for consumers, but for contractors-- to find doors, shutters, fiberglass, tile, etc... 

Newsflash for those in denial:  anything related to housing is going to get utterly destroyed.  This scenario will play out similar to the internet bubble collapse of 2000-2002.  Yes, PurchasePro and Transmeta and WebVan will all go down 99%, but MSFT, CSCO, and INTC will also suffer massive stock drops close to, and more than, 75% of peak stock price.  Consider LOW in the category of these 3 latter.  LOW will survive, but not before dropping a HUGE HUGE amount in the markets.  Reason?  Buying a granite countertop for the kitchen isn't going to raise the value of your home greater than the cost of making the change; furthermore, by the time you complete the job, your house will have dropped enough in price to make the improvement a loss in value.

LOW's sales are going to get annihilated in the next 2 years.


LOW:  This call was made on 10/11/07 @ $28.89
Rating:   Negative   $28.89 (10/11/07)
Closed:   11/21/2008 @ $16.66 (+42.33% in 407 days)
Target:   $10.00 (-65.39%) in > one year


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