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3 pts

Opinion on  Hilton Hotels Corp. (HLT)     Sector: Services  >  Industry: Hotels & Motels
Hilton Break Fees

Jul 07, 2007 09:09 AM UTC
Return Risk
-25.06% LOW
Tracked Blogger

Fundamental Analysis  
Via financialskeptic.blogspot.com/:  

Hilton Hotels Corp. (NYSE:HLT) announced that it would pay Blackstone (NYSE:BX) $560 million if it receives a better offer and terminates a takeover agreement with the private equity company. Blackstone, who is buying Hilton for about $20 billion plus debt, would pay Hilton $660 million if it backs out of the deal.

Break-up fees are supposedly customary in takeovers and are written into the deal to ensure the two sides develop tunnel vision and remember to close the transaction. In this case Blackstone has offered to pay $20 Billion plus assume huge amounts of debt to acquire Hilton. Would there have been another bidder?

This deal will almost surely be reviewed by the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) who will most likely demand some form of change. In the political twilight of the last year of the current presidency things can slip and the unexpected can happen. The powers that be are not that powerful or are distracted planning their next move.

Private equity has become politicized. Populist politicians are calling for increased taxation. Hotel power is certainly becoming more concentrated.

There is an angry dog that wants to bite something in the private equity world.

What looks like a vanilla mega-deal may become a political football. The break fee may become an albatross. Blackstone may have to agree to terms or conditions that do not fit into their game plan. The break point of financial pain will be of course in the range of $660 million if Blackstone does not get enough of what it wants.

There is no law that says all deals must close as intended.





This is a tracking account  [?]   SocialPicks is not affiliated with George Gutowski. The POS/NEG sentiment is automatically determined by SocialPicks from this blog post and should not be recognized as a position recommendation by George Gutowski

HLT:  This call was made on 07/07/07 @ $45.56
Rating:   Neutral/Hold   $45.56 (07/07/07)
Closed:   07/21/2007 @ $44.93 (-1.38% in 14 days)


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ROCK-STAR INVESTORS
Rank Name Sharpe Ratio Avg Return Followers
1 20.58 +45.12% 177
2 18.72 +43.19% 57
3 16.36 +17.64% 7
4 15.42 +40.59% 212
5 13.79 +16.71% 40


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