SocialPicks Monitor new  |    Stock Idea Community
SocialPicks
   Sign Up   |   Log In   |   What is SocialPicks?     
Free Stock Picks by Top Performers
SocialPicks is a community where stock investors exchange ideas and track performance of financial bloggers.
Top_member_photos
Get free stock picks and email alerts daily
 
Are you a stock guru?

9 pts

Opinion on  China Medical Technologies Inc ADS (CMED)     Sector: Healthcare  >  Industry: Medical Equipment & Supplies
Stock Picks for Healthy Returns

Nov 25, 2008 12:02 PM UTC
Rxpic
Return Risk
-1.07% MID
Principal

Stock Picks for Healthy Returns

Abbott Labs (ABT) is a consistent performer with diversified healthcare operations, including pharmaceuticals, diagnostics, medical nutrition products, and medical devices/stents. ABT is back to the lower end of its trading range near 50 bucks, presenting an excellent entry point with a 2.8% dividend yield and forward PE of about 14X.

Celgene (CELG) is also trading at the low end of its trading range around 50 bucks as a large-cap growth stock focused on cancer biotech products and research with an estimated PEG ratio below one.

China Medical (CMED) is trading near its IPO levels of August 2005 despite excellent growth prospects and is a buy below 20 bucks with a dividend yield of 2.5% and market cap of $540M as uncertainty over a $345M acquisition has spooked some investors, sending the stock down sharply by over 50% in the past three months. The acquisition provides CMED with a molecular diagnostics platform for HPV, including strains that cause cervical cancer – which is an estimated $700M market in China alone.

Pfizer (PFE) is a stock I have written about before , which currently has a dividend yield over 8% while trading at a forward PE of under 7X and represents a value, turnaround play with the cash to make targeted acquisitions to bolster its pipeline in anticipation of generic competition for Lipitor while the Company also makes a bigger push into generic drugs beyond its in-house Greenstone division. Three more big pharma companies with yields over 6% to look at include Merck (MRK), Bristol-Myers (BMY), and Eli Lilly (LLY) – with LLY still waiting on a FDA decision for Effient (prasugrel) to compete with multi-billion dollar blood thinner Plavix.

Momenta Pharma (MNTA) and Novartis (NVS) expect to launch a generic version (M-Enoxaparin) of the injectable blood thinner Lovenox in 2009, pending approval of their ANDA by the Generic Division of the FDA. With Momenta trading in single digits again after reaching as high as $20 per share earlier this summer; an approval for M-Enoxaparin would be a significant catalyst since Lovenox posted sales of about $4B in the last year for Sanofi-Aventis (SNY). While other companies such as Teva (TEVA) and Watson Pharma (WPI) also have pending applications for generic Lovenox, it is encouraging the researchers from Momenta contributed to determining the cause of the tainted heparin earlier this year.

The following companies have major FDA product approval decisions expected in the upcoming months which could easily move the underlying stock prices by 100%-plus to the upside or 50%-plus to the downside. Te first group of companies involve decisions for abuse-resistant pain drugs, including Pain Therapeutics (PTIE) + King Pharma (KG) for Remoxy and Alpharma (ALO) for Embeda. Now that Alpharma has accepted King Pharma's $1.6B buyout bid, the latter reflects a way to trade both decisions in a single stock for twice the chances of approval.


CMED:  This call was made on 11/25/08 @ $20.29
Rating:   Positive   $20.29 (11/25/08)
Closed:   12/07/2008 @ $19.35 (-4.63% in 12 days)


Add Comment

Be the first to comment on this story and earn 2 points.

Your Comment



ROCK-STAR INVESTORS
Rank Name Sharpe Ratio Avg Return Followers
1 17.80 +39.28% 79
2 15.63 +15.75% 10
3 14.33 +16.71% 41
4 14.22 +22.85% 16
5 13.47 +29.97% 183


POPULAR STOCKS
Symbol Company Name Sentiment

TODAY'S HEADLINES

TODAY'S TOP PICKS

 
China Medical Technologies Inc ADS (CMED)
   SocialPicks Sentiment:   

   This Quarter's Sentiment:
All:
94.5%
Top:
100.0%




Latest Picks by Mike Havrilla
Symbol SP Sentiment Rating Return Since
GTIV N/A Positive +0.89% 01/09/09
LHCG N/A Positive -5.35% 01/09/09
HGR N/A Positive -2.07% 01/09/09
ENSG N/A Positive +4.92% 01/09/09
AFAM Positive +4.86% 01/09/09

View All >
   
Mike Havrilla previously rated CMED
Positive -0.85% Nine for '09 Stock Picks Start Strong
01/08/2009
9
Positive -12.10% Virtual Investing at UpDown and MarketGuru
01/02/2009
9
Positive +17.91% China Medical Embraces Molecular Diagnostics
12/24/2008
9
Positive -14.91% UpDown Virtual Investing: Earn Real Money with Zero Risk
12/19/2008
9
Positive -6.71% Small, Defensive '09 Stock Picks Are Soaring
12/18/2008
9
Positive +10.10% Nine for '09: Stock Picks for the New Year
12/11/2008
9
Positive +6.98% Stock Ideas from ETF Innovators New Indexes
12/07/2008
9
Positive -1.36% My 60 Defensive Growth Stock Picks at Inner8.com
10/25/2008
9
Positive -4.99% Six Healthcare Stocks on Sale
10/24/2008
9
Positive -28.17% Bullish on CMED ...
10/08/2008
0





IN THE PRESS
Press_forbes Press_washingtonpost Press_wsj Press_npr Press_techcrunch