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3 pts

Opinion on  United States Oil Fund LP (USO)     Sector: Financial  >  Industry: Misc. Financial Services
Carbon ETN Outpaces Oil & Natural Gas Funds

Oct 05, 2008 12:12 PM UTC
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Return Risk
-4.73% MID
Principal

Carbon ETN Outpaces Oil & Natural Gas Funds

During recent market turmoil and a meltdown in commodities, the Global Carbon ETN (GRN) (-10%) has held up much better than oil (USO) (-35%) and natural gas (UNG) (-45%) and about the same as the overall market S&P 500 ETF (SPY), with the approximate three month returns listed after each ticker.

Key factors in the demand for carbon credits include overall power demand and the relationship between natural gas and coal prices since burning gas results in the release of less than half of the greenhouse emissions versus coal. Currently, the simplest way for power utilities to reduce greenhouse emissions is to convert from coal to gas. With the price of coal easing over the past few weeks, demand for more carbon credits resulted; although this effect was mitigated by a sharp decline in natural gas as well which has dropped even more than crude oil.

Since diverging from oil and natural gas in late July, the Global Carbon ETN has trended lower with other commodities but its downturn has not been as severe -- offering investors the potential for a new type of commodity that may prove to be only partially correlated to energy commodities because of its unique characteristics as an economic incentive to curtail air pollution.


USO:  This call was made on 10/05/08 @ $73.29
Rating:   Negative   $73.29 (10/05/08)
Closed:   10/15/2008 @ $60.33 (+17.68% in 10 days)


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Jpeg_sun4agk
Locationh   49%     1 point   commented 58 days ago reply

She does have several gaps to fill between current price and 100 but I would not add this to my portfolio. To risky in current market situation.


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