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10 pts

Opinion on  The Boeing Company (BA)     Sector: Capital Goods  >  Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Striking is not the problem

Sep 16, 2008 07:31 PM GMT
Anything
Return Risk
+9.05% HIGH
Sr. Associate

and niether is the gov't contract headline..

An Obama win is bad for defense business.  McCain win not a positive either, as he'll be under even more pressure to reduce war spending if he pulls off a win.  Defense industry has had a fantastic 8 year run, so no real upside vs. past 8 years which typically means multiple compression.

Airline bankruptcies have been small to date, but are still coming in (XL Airways for inst) rather consistantly.  This puts extra used-plane inventory out there for "foreclosure"-like asking prices.  Not exactly the kind of environment a new airplane mfr wants. 

That said, Boeing is a fantastic company.  Nothing against co, it's just a cyclical coming off a great run, and there's just too many poorly run airlines out there right now that don't need to exist.  Tough winter season coming up-- and capital mkts are acting all antsy.  Airbus probably not as good a co, but still a very strong competitor.


BA:  This call was made on 09/16/08 @ $61.4
Rating:   Negative   $61.4 (09/16/08)
Closed:   10/10/2008 @ $41.92 (+31.73% in 24 days)
Target:   $30.00 (-51.14%) in > one year


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Angelina Rose   N/A     1 point   commented 445 days ago reply

Good information has posted.


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