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8 pts

Opinion on  Terex Corp. (TEX)     Sector: Capital Goods  >  Industry: Misc. Capital Goods
Bullish on TEX ...

Aug 24, 2008 08:30 PM GMT
Warren_buffett
Return Risk
-9.46% HIGH
Associate

Terex is a global manufacturer of a broad range of heavy-duty trucks, mobile cranes, and aerial platforms used mainly in infrastructure construction, such as highway and road-building, and surface mining. And more important, some 70% of Terex's total 2007 revenues of $9.1 billion was generated outside the U.S...

Terex is a global manufacturer of a broad range of heavy-duty trucks, mobile cranes, and aerial platforms used mainly in infrastructure construction, such as highway and road-building, and surface mining. And more important, some 70% of Terex's total 2007 revenues of $9.1 billion was generated outside the U.S ....

Terex is positioned to grow amid tougher economic trends" with a 53% order backlog of $4.1 billion...."- Stock Article Link

It has a lot less debt than Caterpillar (CAT) and Deere (DE). It made $663 million net income last year with a current enterpise value of $5.17 billion. That's an initial rate of return close to 13%. It has a p/e of 6 but has a 14% growth rate! When the growth rate is twice the p/e, that signals a bargain.

More bullish comments on Terex and Manitowoc (MTW) - Stock Article Link


TEX:  This call was made on 08/24/08 @ $48.7
Rating:   Positive   $48.7 (08/24/08)
Gain/Loss:   -60.90% in 468 days


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Bullandbear
Pierre Schang   72%     1 point   commented 411 days ago reply

Hey,
I am bearish on Terex...
I think Terex is a well managed company and that the managment has done a wonderful job the last 4 years thanks to the lean management put in place. But the problem is not the managers but the economic environement. We have seen the residential spending falling 25% month on month in september. Terex is involved in the non residential end markets where the spending has not dropped yet. I think is going to happen in the next month/years because we can see some indicators deteriorating (vancancy rate, number of transactions in the commercial real estate then I think it is very dangerous to analyse Terex on the 2007 PE and other ratios. If you look at it on the 2010 ratios you can see that Terx is quiet expensive. Then If you do an average you can see that we have to wait to get it at a value price. I think we are not at the bottom because Terex won't reach the target of 12/12 for 2010.

Escempepito


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Who voted on this idea?
Bullandbear
Pierre Schang 72% 10/20/2008



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