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6 pts

Opinion on  PHILIP MORRIS INTERNATIONAL INC (PM)
Thank you for Smoking

Aug 16, 2008 05:22 AM UTC
Return Risk
-12.10% HIGH
Analyst

Fundamental Analysis  

+ve
- Potential growth in China & possibly in Europe
- No revenue from US which is a high litigation risk market
- Weak economy = More Smokers = More smokes per smoker!! Like it or not but it's a fact :-)
- Buyers are addicted and brand has a lot of value and they have the biggest ones out there
- Decent dividend yield

-ve
- Recent buy of Rothman, Canada - second largest in Canada. Again getting into litigation risks. If the risk doesn't materialize this will be +ve
- Weak dollar - Most of the revenue is International, so a strong dollar WILL HURT
- Moral hazard :-)


PM:  This call was made on 08/16/08 @ $55.66
Rating:   Neutral/Hold   $55.66 (08/16/08)
Gain/Loss:   -23.28% in 145 days


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ROCK-STAR INVESTORS
Rank Name Sharpe Ratio Avg Return Followers
1 17.80 +39.28% 78
2 15.63 +15.75% 10
3 14.33 +16.71% 41
4 14.22 +22.85% 16
5 13.47 +29.97% 183


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