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6 pts

Opinion on  OM Group Inc. (OMG)     Sector: Basic Materials  >  Industry: Chemical Manufacturing
The flexibility of small Cap in a currently anti-large cap sector

Aug 01, 2008 05:07 PM GMT
Ry_3d320
Return Risk
-32.63% LOW
Sr. Analyst

Fundamental Analysis  

Certainly this stock has had some major swings in its history.  But I like this on based almost entirely on straight fundamental analysis and a good common sense approach.

OMG is small enough to be versatile in a field of big players like DOW, which is 30 times its size.  With a nice low P/E hovering in the mid-5 range (compared to a 30+ for the industry) and ROE at 20%+ and an OM of 15%+ The potential for upside in the long-term (1+ year) is high.  Not to mention a fantastic balance sheet with free flowing cash to continue to spurn their impressive growth and a book value higher than their current share value.  Debt to Equity is only 0.04 long term and total.

As many stocks will continue to tightly mimic the Indexes over the next few months, and many investors will watch their favorite picks fall into a moderately tight swinging range, this company should remain a strong pick for some weeks to come.

But thanks to the small size of OMG they will be better able to adapt to the beaten US dollar and changes to come in the world of manufacturing in North America.  Such versatility allows for innovation and, beyond that, a poised striking position.  As larger competition painfully and sluggishly cuts back extra costs, they will thus give market share in small bites.  To them a tiny loss is a huge gain for OMG.  1% to them is 25% to this small company.

Over the long term OMG will adapt faster, and if they continue to run their business and keep the numbers similar to where they currently stand, stand a much greater chance of doubling, tripling, or increasing their market share by even greater amounts.


OMG:  This call was made on 08/01/08 @ $31.83
Rating:   Positive   $31.83 (08/01/08)
Gain/Loss:   -42.92% in 1395 days
Target:   $75.00 (+135.63%) in > one year
Allocation:   13.0% of portfolio


Comments (2)

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