US Government bonds will be destroyed going forward.
Reasons 1.Unwise fiscal policy has resulted in unprecedented money supply growth.This was the root cause for the massive bull market in all assets.But now the cycle has turned and we are going to see unwinding of the bubble in all asset classes.Increase in money supply has resulted in inflation which will continue to increase growing forward since nothing meaningful has been done so far.The central banks have been adding fuel to the fire by pouring in more liquidity when increased money supply was the cause of the malaise.At some point inflation will be difficult to ignore and interest rates will have to be increased.Rising interest rates will cause bonds to tank.
2.At some point there will be dumping of US treasuries by foreign governments and that will be disastrous for bonds.
It is to be noted that there is a chance of pain when there is the herd like "flight to safety" when equities collapse and fund managers automatically shift to US Treasuries and the dollar.Do not panic.Hold or ideally accumulate at lower levels.Why not wait till then?I am lousy at timing market timing and have difficulty counting beyond my fingers so technical analysis is beyond me.I think I am good at strategy so I am sticking to that.
"I have always been skeptical about buying inflation adjusted bonds (TIPS), simply because the yield on inflation adjusted fixed income securities is pegged to the CPI. Since the government will always understate the true rate of inflation the buyer of the TIPS will eternally be shorthanded. Moreover, I think that one day in future, the bond market will finally wake up to the fact that inflation has been understated and sell-off very badly. In fact, you would have to be the world’s greatest optimist (a la Abby Cohen or Larry Kudlow) to buy a US 30-years government bond in US dollars and with a yield of just 4.5% with the view to hold these bonds to maturity. You would have to assume that US inflation will never rise above 4.5% within the next 30 years and that the US dollar’s purchasing power will be maintained. Not a likely scenario, in my opinion (short term, however, bonds could rally somewhat more as the economy weakens)."
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Shoe size,also known as shoe,common in the following standard method: international,European,U.S.and UK.
International standards is the shoe that the foot a few millimeters long.
Chinese standards adopt a few millimeters or centimeters. Such as: 245 millimeters,24 1 / 2 centimeters,that the same size.
Conversion formula:
Cm system of few × 2-10 = Europe (EU system +10) ÷ 2 = centimeters
Centimeters -18 +0.5 = US-made American +18-0.5 = centimeters
Centimeters -18-0.5 = +18 + 0.5 inch Inch = centimeters
Shoe table:
Shoes
Foot length cm 22.5 23 23.5 24 24.5 25 25.5 26
Europe EUR 35 36 37 38 39 39 40 40
U.S. US 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5
UK UK 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5
Men
Foot length cm 24.5 25 25.5 26 26.5 27 27.5 28
Europe EUR 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46
U.S. US 7 7.5 8 8.5 9 9.5 10 10.5
UK UK 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 9 9.5 jgfdsdghjghfdfgh
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