This is a momentum pick. The movie opened really well at the box office over the weekend(I saw it on Friday, good movie). Marvel has already announced a sequel and a new slate of superhero movies being released in the next few years. I have NO idea how Thor or Captain America will do. I think that momentum money will carry this stock up 7 points in the next couple of months. A few years ago, Marvel significantly changed their business model. Previously, Marvel was principally a toymaker and licensor. This conservative strategy didn't help them cash in onthe blockbuster Spider-Man series. So Marvel launched a studio; Iron Man is their first release.
I just came across this article from Conde Nast Portfolio . It asks the question, is Marvel the next Disney? It's certainly within the realm of possibility. They have tons of characters with which to work. They are partnering with investors out of Dubai to open a theme park in 2011. Running a movie studio that cranks out (moneymaking) hits is not nearly as easy as the article makes it seem. Look at the numbers on Lions Gate . Not pretty, especially the debt load. Keep in mind, that this studio produces a hit or two every year. Look at it's statement of cash flows ; this is a tough, uncertain business. Investors should keep that in mind when projecting earnings.
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$33.38 (05/06/08)
