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There is still a lot to sort out with these names but I would say if you look at how citi and mer have performed lately I would use their judgment as a metric for finding the bottom
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What percentage of the price of these stocks is a reflection of lack of confidence in the greater financials market, rather then the health of these two stocks individually?
I think the sandbag on the necks of both of these truly is confidence. Once these two see a continued trend of daily gains we will see a rapid valuation in both as confidence is restored.
Thoughts?
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My prediction:
Prices for open on Sept 01
MBI - $9.81
ABK - $7.45
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confidance will return when significantly more debt is written down, neither of these companies have written down any significant amount of credit care or commercial debt
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Great post really interested writing style
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